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 Post subject: Re: Mets @ Reds 9-9. PHIL Evans day
PostPosted: Sun Sep 10, 2017 1:01 pm 
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jdawginsc wrote:
I might be in the minority, but I don't want the kids to learn how to lose to get a bit better draft choice. I'm hoping that the ragtag rookies become a juggernaut for the rest of the season...


They have to actually play first for that hypothesis to be fact. Rosario's been out a week, they refuse to play Cheech (not that I'm his biggest fan either but Matt Reynolds...really?), and I don't know if winning/losing matters with Dom when he's hitting .200 in 100 AB's. I'm more worried about him hitting than winning.

And unless you're a believer in Montero (hah) the only guy in the rotation that's going to matter next year is deGrom. Even Harvey could be nontendered at this rate. Maybe Seth Lugo will matter but maybe his arm falls off.


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 Post subject: Re: Mets @ Reds 9-9. PHIL Evans day
PostPosted: Sun Sep 10, 2017 1:24 pm 
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jdawginsc wrote:
I might be in the minority, but I don't want the kids to learn how to lose to get a bit better draft choice. I'm hoping that the ragtag rookies become a juggernaut for the rest of the season...



Most of them played at Vegas this season.

They already know everything there is to know about losing.


8)

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 Post subject: Re: Mets @ Reds 9-9. PHIL Evans day
PostPosted: Sun Sep 10, 2017 1:45 pm 
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I think that anyone who is not sold on Dom is going to look for any cracks in the dam and project from that.

Smith by year to start (roughly first 90--100 at bats/second 100 or so at bats)
2013 .215 .303 .354 .656----.333 .434 .441 .876
2014 .212 .261 .247 .508----.320 .398 .360 .758
2015 .194 .250 .237 .487----.353 .389 .563 .952
2016 .295 .336 .446 .783----.250 .311 .324 .636 (the anomoly)

Other than 2016 (and neglecting LV), when he starts at a new level, he struggles with BABIP and Ks, then his walks start accelerating and his BABIP levels out.

So far his BABIP in the majors is .225; normalizing that will show a different picture.

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 Post subject: Re: Mets @ Reds 9-9. PHIL Evans day
PostPosted: Sun Sep 10, 2017 2:44 pm 
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jdawginsc wrote:
I might be in the minority, but I don't want the kids to learn how to lose to get a bit better draft choice. I'm hoping that the ragtag rookies become a juggernaut for the rest of the season...



That's the spirit!

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 Post subject: Re: Mets @ Reds 9-9. PHIL Evans day
PostPosted: Sun Sep 10, 2017 3:05 pm 
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Joined: Mon May 21, 2007 12:17 pm
Posts: 5661
jdawginsc wrote:
I think that anyone who is not sold on Dom is going to look for any cracks in the dam and project from that.

Smith by year to start (roughly first 90--100 at bats/second 100 or so at bats)
2013 .215 .303 .354 .656----.333 .434 .441 .876
2014 .212 .261 .247 .508----.320 .398 .360 .758
2015 .194 .250 .237 .487----.353 .389 .563 .952
2016 .295 .336 .446 .783----.250 .311 .324 .636 (the anomoly)

Other than 2016 (and neglecting LV), when he starts at a new level, he struggles with BABIP and Ks, then his walks start accelerating and his BABIP levels out.

So far his BABIP in the majors is .225; normalizing that will show a different picture.


Nice start to his next 100 AB today.

Honestly looking like a good bet to hit 20 homers, and that's where all the doubt was with him outside of conditioning.


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 Post subject: Re: Mets @ Reds 9-9. PHIL Evans day
PostPosted: Sun Sep 10, 2017 3:24 pm 
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I can't wait until we draft another Cecchini next year.


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