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 Post subject: 2016 Mets Draft, Round 01 Pick 19: RHSP Justin Dunn
PostPosted: Thu Jun 09, 2016 11:56 am 
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Justin Dunn
R/R; RHSP
6'2/170
9/22/95
Boston College

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 Post subject: Re: 2016 Mets Draft, Round 01 Pick 19: RHSP Justin Dunn
PostPosted: Thu Jun 09, 2016 9:05 pm 
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Practically A Wilpon

Joined: Tue Apr 02, 2013 2:52 pm
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BA #22

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In 2015, Chris Shaw became the fifth first-rounder drafted out of Boston College. This year, Dunn could be the sixth. The athletic righthander began the season pitching out of the bullpen, but his lightning quick arm and promising offspeed pitches forced him into the Eagles' rotation. Dunn is slight in stature, with some scouts questioning his listed 6-foot-2, 184-pound frame. While he is short physically, his stuff isn’t. He pitches consistently at 92-95 and touching as high as 97 at times with his fastball. His best secondary pitch is his slider, thrown with tight spin, vertical shape and mid-80s velocity. He throws a curveball that has similar shape to his slider, but breaks more loosely and grades out as a below-average pitch, though its presence can disrupt hitters' timing. Dunn has shown feel for a changeup at times, showing the ability to locate the pitch at hitters' knees. His performance as a starter has encouraged teams that he can start long term, as he has held velocity well deep into his outings.


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 Post subject: Re: 2016 Mets Draft, Round 01 Pick 19: RHSP Justin Dunn
PostPosted: Thu Jun 09, 2016 9:05 pm 
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Practically A Wilpon

Joined: Mon Apr 26, 2010 8:21 pm
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Love the pic… reminds me of Stroman


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 Post subject: Re: 2016 Mets Draft, Round 01 Pick 19: RHSP Justin Dunn
PostPosted: Thu Jun 09, 2016 9:06 pm 
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Joined: Sun Jul 12, 2009 11:25 pm
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MLB #29

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School: Boston College Year: Junior Position: RHP Age: 20 DOB: 9/22/1995 Bats: S Throws: R Height: 6'2" Weight: 170 lb.
Previously Drafted: 2013, 37th (1114) - LAD
VIDEO

Scouting grades: Fastball: 60 | Slider: 50 | Curveball: 50 | Changeup: 45 | Control: 45 | Overall: 50
At the start of the spring, Dunn was an interesting college reliever with arm strength, albeit one with a four-pitch mix many scouts were intrigued to see as a starter. They got their wish as Dunn became a part of Boston College's weekend rotation in April and saw his Draft stock take off.

Dunn has always had a plus fastball and he maintained it in his early starts, lighting radar guns up to 98-99 mph and sitting in the 92-95 mph range. He utilizes two breaking balls, both of which are Major League average: a three-quarters curve and a solid hard slider. His changeup will also flash average, though he didn't need it much as a reliever. His command is fringy at present, but his outstanding stuff helps make up for it.

Many teams feel Dunn has a very good chance to start as a Yordano Ventura type athletic, yet slightly undersized, right-hander. As a result, he was flying up boards, with some feeling he could be gone by the end of the first round.


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 Post subject: Re: 2016 Mets Draft, Round 01 Pick 19: RHSP Justin Dunn
PostPosted: Thu Jun 09, 2016 9:06 pm 
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Practically A Wilpon

Joined: Tue Apr 02, 2013 2:52 pm
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ESPN #14

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14. Justin Dunn, RHP
Boston College
Previous rank: 15

Dunn hit 99 mph earlier in the year out of BC's bullpen, but the Eagles did the right thing for the team and the player by shifting him to the rotation midyear, allowing him to shoot up draft boards by showing he could work 93-96 mph with a good delivery and above-average control in a half-dozen starts.

Quote:
Dunn began the 2016 spring season in the bullpen and dominated there; he struck out 17 batters in 13 1/3 relief innings before he moved into the Eagles' rotation in April. He has maintained his velocity deep into games, and a growing segment of evaluators are bullish on his chances of starting in pro ball. Dunn will sit 91-95 mph and creep up to 97, with movement and electric extension.

A 95 mph fastball with movement plays at any level of baseball, and Dunn is already in possession of one.

The best secondary pitch here is a mid-80s slider. It flashes plus and projects there at maturity. Dunn already has shown feel for using his slider in a variety of ways, as well as the ability to throw his slower, loopier curveball for strikes early in counts. It will probably max out as a fringe-average pitch, but serves as a nice change of pace.

Dunn's changeup is in its infancy but has shown flashes of big league viability in the upper 80s. Because of where Dunn has spent his college career (geographically) and his clear athleticism, scouts project more heavily onto Dunn's future grades. Changeups improve with reps, and as a cold-weather reliever for most of his career, those have been hard to come by for him. Athletes with arm actions as explosive as Dunn's typically find a changeup sooner or later.

Control has been a bit of an issue for Dunn, especially since he moved into the rotation. But there again, context is important when it comes to projection, and the circumstances surrounding Dunn's development to this point should be taken into account when it comes to projecting his control. Bottom line is he's a high-upside college arm without a long track record of success as a starter.


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 Post subject: Re: 2016 Mets Draft, Round 01 Pick 19: RHSP Justin Dunn
PostPosted: Thu Jun 09, 2016 9:07 pm 
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Joined: Wed Sep 20, 2006 1:04 am
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#14 on KLaw's board


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 Post subject: Re: 2016 Mets Draft, Round 01 Pick 19: RHSP Justin Dunn
PostPosted: Thu Jun 09, 2016 9:07 pm 
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Joined: Mon Sep 18, 2006 6:12 pm
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Don't worry.

Nitey is okay with this pick.


8)

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 Post subject: Re: 2016 Mets Draft, Round 01 Pick 19: RHSP Justin Dunn
PostPosted: Thu Jun 09, 2016 9:08 pm 
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R Nitelight wrote:
Don't worry.

Nitey is okay with this pick.


8)

Oh good. I was worried. :-D


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 Post subject: Re: 2016 Mets Draft, Round 01 Pick 19: RHSP Justin Dunn
PostPosted: Thu Jun 09, 2016 9:09 pm 
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Thumbs up to Dunn from a non-expert like me. Big fan #Mets

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 Post subject: Re: 2016 Mets Draft, Round 01 Pick 19: RHSP Justin Dunn
PostPosted: Thu Jun 09, 2016 9:09 pm 
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Joined: Tue Jul 10, 2012 7:03 pm
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Hard time believing he was the best player on the board. This seems more like a $ strategy pick.

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 Post subject: Re: 2016 Mets Draft, Round 01 Pick 19: RHSP Justin Dunn
PostPosted: Thu Jun 09, 2016 9:10 pm 
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Joined: Fri Feb 26, 2010 2:22 am
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Ralf wrote:
Hard time believing he was the best player on the board. This seems more like a $ strategy pick.


Yep.


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 Post subject: Re: 2016 Mets Draft, Round 01 Pick 19: RHSP Justin Dunn
PostPosted: Thu Jun 09, 2016 9:11 pm 
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Joined: Fri Feb 01, 2008 3:56 pm
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Nice! Go Eagles!

Wasn't he off the board on almost every mock?


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