Joined: Tue Sep 19, 2006 4:56 am Posts: 12093 Location: hanging with Tony B in the clubhouse
So, the Rangers paid 110 million dollars for a rich man's Aaron Harang.
_________________ Anyone who quotes profits of a baseball club is missing the point. Under generally accepted accounting principles, I can turn a $4 million profit into a $2 million loss, and I can get every national accounting firm to agree with me. - Paul Beeston, CEO of the Toronto Blue Jays
Joined: Mon Sep 18, 2006 5:39 pm Posts: 19184 Location: Jersey City
It's probably too early to start shoveling dirt on Darvish, but it's really amazing that teams are willing to pay the kind of money they pay for Japanese stars, given the track record in MLB.
That's not to say Japanese players can't play in the majors, but I think you're better off with the more under-the-radar guys, who seem to do well as complementary players.
We all remember the Kaz Matsui debacle, but I can also remember respected baseball analysts claiming that Dice-K would revolutionize MLB with his assortment of pitches.
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Joined: Sun Apr 27, 2008 8:01 am Posts: 14602 Location: Atlanta
I think it's easy to forget that he's just 25. You can look at Japan as the minors, view him as a guy who came up a little late, and still see some room for development. He might end up being perpetually mediocre, but I think he'll be at least a solid number three going forward.
_________________ I named one of my students Isaac after the great Ike Davis.
Well, maybe this will work out well after all. Darvish's final 2012 numbers look pretty outstanding. The ERA was a little high but once adjusted for the park and league, he was still more than 10% better than league average (89 ERA-). Here is how he ranked in some categories among qualified AL starting pitchers:
Pretty much any way you want to look at it, traditional stats or advanced, he graded out as a top 20 pitcher in the league and was top 10 in every category besides WHIP and ERA. He could stand to walk fewer batters, but the ingredients of an ace are certainly there.
I thought it was crazy that, including the posting fee, he costed his team more than C.J. Wilson (who finished the season with very average numbers, by the way). It was still very risky, and it still could blow up at any point, but I think Texas is pretty satisfied with what they have in their young right-hander right now.
Joined: Sun Nov 26, 2006 11:04 pm Posts: 1683 Location: Fort Collins, Colorado
I'd have to assume the marketability of these guys (Darvish, Dice-K, etc.) is the biggest attraction. I imagine towards the end of a deal, when a pitcher has under-performed, that marketability has declined but I am guessing these teams have probably already made their money back by then.
They obviously are also expecting performance, but they probably don't need elite performance to necessarily occur for these to be worthwhile signings.
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