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 Post subject: 2014 MLB Predictions
PostPosted: Fri Mar 28, 2014 4:16 pm 
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Legend of NYFS

Joined: Thu Jul 23, 2009 10:33 pm
Posts: 21236
Location: NJ
Fangraphs rolled out their season predictions today and with Opening Day a few days away, it's about time to do this.

AL East: Red Sox
AL Central: Tigers
AL West: Angels

AL Wild Cards: Rays, A's

AL MVP: Mike Trout
AL Cy Young: Danny Salazar
AL Rookie of the Year: Masahiro Tanaka

------

NL East: Nationals
NL Central: Cardinals
NL West: Dodgers

NL Wild Cards: Pirates, Braves

NL MVP: Bryce Harper
NL Cy Young: Jose Fernandez
NL Rookie of the Year: Gregory Polanco


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 Post subject: Re: 2014 MLB Predictions
PostPosted: Fri Mar 28, 2014 4:33 pm 
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Legend of NYFS

Joined: Mon Jun 10, 2013 10:11 am
Posts: 21094
Location: NYC
NYY 89 (weak IF being way overplayed)
Balt 87 WC (the same core is still there plus better supporting cast)
Bos 85 (regression due!)
Tampa 82 (enough is enough)
TOR 75 (too much pitching has to break right even tho I like Hutchison as big sleeper)

Det 88
KC 86 WC
CLE 80
ChiS 72
MN 70

LAA 88
TEX 84
Oak 81 (injuries and regression from young arms)
SEA 79
HOUS 63

MVP - Trout
CY - Scherzer
ROY - Ventura (pretty sure he's eligible)

----------------

WAS 90
ATL 82
PHI 78
NYM 72
FL 71

StL 90
Pitt 87 WC
CIN 80
MIL 78
CHI 70

LAD 94
SD 87 WC
AZ 85
CO 80
SF 77

MVP - Werth
CY - Wacha
ROY - Grandal? (is he still a rookie?) Polanco!


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 Post subject: Re: 2014 MLB Predictions
PostPosted: Fri Mar 28, 2014 4:59 pm 
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Legend of NYFS

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Ventura is eligible, Grandal is not. Limits are 130+ at bats for hitters, 50 IP for pitchers, or being on 25-man roster for 45 days (non-DL).


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 Post subject: Re: 2014 MLB Predictions
PostPosted: Fri Mar 28, 2014 5:03 pm 
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Legend of NYFS

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nmigliore wrote:
Ventura is eligible, Grandal is not. Limits are 130+ at bats for hitters, 50 IP for pitchers, or being on 25-man roster for 45 days (non-DL).

Grandal over on days? thought he had just 105 or so ABs.


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 Post subject: Re: 2014 MLB Predictions
PostPosted: Fri Mar 28, 2014 5:34 pm 
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HeyNowHK wrote:
nmigliore wrote:
Ventura is eligible, Grandal is not. Limits are 130+ at bats for hitters, 50 IP for pitchers, or being on 25-man roster for 45 days (non-DL).

Grandal over on days? thought he had just 105 or so ABs.

He has 280 AB, you're missing 2012.


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 Post subject: Re: 2014 MLB Predictions
PostPosted: Fri Mar 28, 2014 5:46 pm 
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Legend of NYFS

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Posts: 21094
Location: NYC
nmigliore wrote:
HeyNowHK wrote:
nmigliore wrote:
Ventura is eligible, Grandal is not. Limits are 130+ at bats for hitters, 50 IP for pitchers, or being on 25-man roster for 45 days (non-DL).

Grandal over on days? thought he had just 105 or so ABs.

He has 280 AB, you're missing 2012.

yikes. Polanco then.


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 Post subject: Re: 2014 MLB Predictions
PostPosted: Fri Mar 28, 2014 5:52 pm 
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General Manager

Joined: Tue Jul 10, 2012 7:03 pm
Posts: 7212
NL East
Braves 90-72
Nats 86-76
Marlins 85-77
Mets 77-85
Phillies 76-86

NL Central
Cardinals
Brewers - WC
Reds
Pirates
Cubs

NL West
Giants
Dodgers - WC
Rockies
Padres
DBacks

AL East
Jays
Orioles - WC
Sawx
Yanks
Rays

AL Central
Tigers
Indians
Royals
Twins
Sox

AL West
A's
Angels - WC
Rangers
Seattle
Houston

_________________
Escaped from Elba.
Original drummer for the Wilpons Are Cheap.


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 Post subject: Re: 2014 MLB Predictions
PostPosted: Fri Mar 28, 2014 6:29 pm 
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Posts: 23483
AL East: Red Sox
AL Central: Tigers
AL West: Angels

AL Wild Cards: Rays, A's

AL MVP: Mike Trout
AL Cy Young: Felix Hernandez
AL ROY: Masahiro Tanaka

NL East: Nationals
NL Central: Cardinals
NL West: Dodgers

NL Wild Cards: Pirates, Giants

NL MVP: Andrew McCutchen
NL Cy Young: Jose Fernandez
NL ROY: Gregory Polanco


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 Post subject: Re: 2014 MLB Predictions
PostPosted: Fri Mar 28, 2014 11:03 pm 
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Legend of NYFS

Joined: Wed Sep 20, 2006 3:37 am
Posts: 10098
AL East: Yankees
AL Central: Tigers
AL West: Angels

AL Wild Cards: Blue Jays, Rangers

AL MVP: Miguel Cabrera
AL Cy Young: King Felix
AL Rookie of the Year: Jose Abreu

------

NL East: Nationals
NL Central: Cardinals
NL West: Dodgers

NL Wild Cards: Reds, Giants

NL MVP: Paul Goldschmidt
NL Cy Young: Clayton Kershaw
NL Rookie of the Year: Billy Hamilton


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 Post subject: Re: 2014 MLB Predictions
PostPosted: Wed Apr 02, 2014 1:38 am 
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Practically A Wilpon

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Posts: 9255
AL East:
1. Red Sox
2. Orioles (WC)
3. Rays
4. Yankees
5. Blue Jays

AL Central:
1. Tigers
2. Royals
3. Indians
4. Twins
5. White Sox

AL West:
1. A's
2. Angels (WC)
3. Mariners
4. Rangers
5. Astros

NL East:
1. Nationals
2. Braves
3. Mets
4. Phillies
5. Marlins

NL Central:
1. Cardinals
2. Brewers (WC)
3. Reds (WC)
4. Pirates
5. Cubs

NL West:
1. Dodgers
2. Giants
3. Diamondbacks
4. Rockies
5. Padres


AL MVP:
1. Mike Trout
2. Dustin Pedroia
3. Adam Jones
4. Miguel Cabrera
5. Chris Davis

AL Cy Young:
1. Felix Hernandez
2. Justin Verlander
3. Justin Masterson

AL ROY: Yordano Ventura

NL MVP:
1. Hanley Ramirez
2. Bryce Harper
3. Ryan Braun (he'll deserve to win)
4. David Wright
5. Jay Bruce

NL Cy Young:
1. Adam Wainwright
2. Madison Bumgarner
3. Jose Fernandez

NL ROY: Archie Bradley


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 Post subject: Re: 2014 MLB Predictions
PostPosted: Wed Apr 02, 2014 1:39 am 
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Practically A Wilpon

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Posts: 9255
nmigliore wrote:
AL Cy Young: Danny Salazar

:shock: :shock: :shock: :shock: :shock:


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 Post subject: Re: 2014 MLB Predictions
PostPosted: Wed Apr 02, 2014 8:03 am 
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Legend of NYFS

Joined: Thu Jul 23, 2009 10:33 pm
Posts: 21236
Location: NJ
ilikeike29 wrote:
nmigliore wrote:
AL Cy Young: Danny Salazar

:shock: :shock: :shock: :shock: :shock:

Averaged 97 mph on his 4-seam fastball last season; struck out 30.8% of batters faced, which ranked 2nd in MLB among starters with at least 50 IP; 14.6% swinging strike percentage, which ranked 1st.

Here's a list of starters since 2002, over at least a 50 IP in a single season, who have averaged at least 93 mph on their fastball and struck out 30% of batters faced in a season (50 IP minimum): http://www.fangraphs.com/leaders.aspx?p ... &players=0

Picking King Felix, Darvish, Sale, Verlander, etc. is boring. Salazar is the best pitcher in baseball that nobody (fully) knows.


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