Joined: Tue Mar 13, 2007 12:54 pm Posts: 5057 Location: Vero Beach, FL
The peripherals really don't seem to like Broxton at all. He seems to be getting very few swings and misses this year, and succeeding by doing unusually well with leaving men on base. These numbers really aren't that good for a pen arm:
year xFIP SIERA 2010 3.20 2.99 2011 4.67 4.75 2012 4.12 3.94
I should mention 2011 is a very small sample, only 12.7 IP. But there's no evidence in this year's peripherals either that he's anywhere near to being back to the pitcher he was in 2007-2009. It looks like he's not at all as good as he was even in 2010, but that he was unlucky that year, and has been very lucky so far this year. Especially of concern is his rate of swinging strikes, down to 5.8% this year. That's about what we saw from Mike Pelfrey throughout his career as a SP, or about what we got from Dale Thayer out of the pen last season.
Not that we couldn't use Dale Thayer right now, I just think people will probably be expecting a little more from Broxton, and may be disappointed. I don't mind the move if the price is right, but this strikes me as a move you make when you know this is really a .500 team, but acquiring the "name" guy at the deadline will help keep hope alive a bit longer, and sell a few more tickets in August, before you shift to giving up on 2012 and calling up more of the youngsters and getting them ready for 2013.
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