MESSAGE BOARDS TOOLS:  Search | Members | User Control Panel |   | Login 


All times are UTC - 5 hours [ DST ]

Post new topic Reply to topic  [ 85 posts ]  Go to page Previous  1, 2, 3, 4, 5, 6, 7, 8  Next
Author Message
 Post subject: Re: Source: Mets 2013 payroll to look like 2012
PostPosted: Sun Aug 19, 2012 6:15 pm 
User avatar
Offline
Veteran Presence

Joined: Wed Jul 01, 2009 2:35 pm
Posts: 4732
Location: Brooklyn
Metro2007 wrote:
TimBogar wrote:
Metro, this has nothing to do with Mets vs Nats. I made that quite clear.

You said the Mets had one "special" player." Well, so do the Nats. I never compared their offenses or rosters.

You seem to enjoy turning everything into a negative. Or at least skewing things toward being negative. Whatever.



In what way is the Mets not spending in the off-season anything but negative? It can't be viewed as positive. They won't have a very high pick, the draft is viewed as weak and they don't have young position players ready to step in. What rationale would there be not to spend unless the owner doesn't want to? This team has holes even if you are the most positive person on the planet.


When did I ever say potentially not spending in the offseason wasn't a negative? I noted that it wouldn't be as horrendous as the 50M drop last offseason, while noting that they have tons of money coming off the books after next year...and also pointing out that the source Rubin is using isn't part of the Mets organization.

_________________
I have a Mets blog, you should read it:

http://risingapple.com/author/dabriano

http://rationalmetsmusings.blogspot.com

On Twitter: @D_Abriano


Top
 Profile  
 
 Post subject: Re: Source: Mets 2013 payroll to look like 2012
PostPosted: Sun Aug 19, 2012 6:18 pm 
User avatar
Online
Legend of NYFS

Joined: Tue Sep 19, 2006 2:57 pm
Posts: 57760
Location: New York, NY
TimBogar,
Fair enough. I'm just saying until proven otherwise I take Adam Rubin's stories to have validity. If there is a shift I assume Adam will report as such. If suddenly they spend significantly more than that without Adam reporting this shift then we can look back and say Adam was wrong.

_________________
Twit-@Wexlerrules
http://stlucietoflushing.com/
W.L.W- We Love Wheeler
NYFS Top 30 list... starting 10/1
Staunch anti-BADP (Batting average dependent players)
Pronounced "Dar-No"


Top
 Profile  
 
 Post subject: Re: Source: Mets 2013 payroll to look like 2012
PostPosted: Sun Aug 19, 2012 6:22 pm 
User avatar
Offline
Veteran Presence

Joined: Wed Jul 01, 2009 2:35 pm
Posts: 4732
Location: Brooklyn
Metro2007 wrote:
TimBogar,
Fair enough. I'm just saying until proven otherwise I take Adam Rubin's stories to have validity. If there is a shift I assume Adam will report as such. If suddenly they spend significantly more than that without Adam reporting this shift then we can look back and say Adam was wrong.


I feel the same way.

However, this thread has mostly been about dissecting the quote that the Mets would have 15 mil to spend this offseason.

No time has been spent on the other quote - stating that they could allocate a chunk of that money to re-signing Wright and Dickey. And I'll repeat the fact that if the Mets had no intention of making a play to re-sign those guys over the winter, I'd be far more concerned about the future of the team.

_________________
I have a Mets blog, you should read it:

http://risingapple.com/author/dabriano

http://rationalmetsmusings.blogspot.com

On Twitter: @D_Abriano


Top
 Profile  
 
 Post subject: Re: Source: Mets 2013 payroll to look like 2012
PostPosted: Sun Aug 19, 2012 6:24 pm 
User avatar
Offline
Everyday Player

Joined: Sat Sep 30, 2006 5:37 pm
Posts: 1455
Add one legitimate of and 2qualityrelievers and the could pull out 82/83 wins

_________________
SiddFinch1


Top
 Profile  
 
 Post subject: Re: Source: Mets 2013 payroll to look like 2012
PostPosted: Sun Aug 19, 2012 6:27 pm 
User avatar
Online
Legend of NYFS

Joined: Tue Sep 19, 2006 2:57 pm
Posts: 57760
Location: New York, NY
TimBogar wrote:
Metro2007 wrote:
TimBogar,
Fair enough. I'm just saying until proven otherwise I take Adam Rubin's stories to have validity. If there is a shift I assume Adam will report as such. If suddenly they spend significantly more than that without Adam reporting this shift then we can look back and say Adam was wrong.


I feel the same way.

However, this thread has mostly been about dissecting the quote that the Mets would have 15 mil to spend this offseason.

No time has been spent on the other quote - stating that they could allocate a chunk of that money to re-signing Wright and Dickey. And I'll repeat the fact that if the Mets had no intention of making a play to re-sign those guys over the winter, I'd be far more concerned about the future of the team.


The problem is... what the Mets feel is a fair deal for Wright may be NOWHERE near what Wright thinks is fair. The Mets may think 5 years 80 million guaranteed is a "great" offer. Do the Mets really get credit for trying to sign Wright before we even see what they offer? In my eyes I don't believe they do and I'm very, very, very concerned that if Wright doesn't sign a deal they concern themselves more with 2013 ticket sales and letting Wright walk vs. what's right for the franchise. Until I see some proof the Wilpon's care about winning at all, I won't believe they do. The last move they made that showed anything resembling that was probably signing Jason Bay (who I didn't even want). Since then... not much.

_________________
Twit-@Wexlerrules
http://stlucietoflushing.com/
W.L.W- We Love Wheeler
NYFS Top 30 list... starting 10/1
Staunch anti-BADP (Batting average dependent players)
Pronounced "Dar-No"


Top
 Profile  
 
 Post subject: Re: Source: Mets 2013 payroll to look like 2012
PostPosted: Sun Aug 19, 2012 6:32 pm 
User avatar
Offline
Veteran Presence

Joined: Wed Jul 01, 2009 2:35 pm
Posts: 4732
Location: Brooklyn
I'm not giving the Mets credit for anything. I'm analyzing a positive quote, just as others are analyzing a negative quote.

The Mets were willing to guarantee 5/80 for Reyes...a guy with a history of injuries who Alderson really didn't want to keep. I don't see why they'd cap Wright at the same number.

_________________
I have a Mets blog, you should read it:

http://risingapple.com/author/dabriano

http://rationalmetsmusings.blogspot.com

On Twitter: @D_Abriano


Top
 Profile  
 
 Post subject: Re: Source: Mets 2013 payroll to look like 2012
PostPosted: Sun Aug 19, 2012 7:02 pm 
User avatar
Offline
NYFS Staff

Joined: Mon Sep 18, 2006 5:39 pm
Posts: 19078
Location: Jersey City
TimBogar wrote:
I'm not giving the Mets credit for anything. I'm analyzing a positive quote, just as others are analyzing a negative quote.

The Mets were willing to guarantee 5/80 for Reyes...a guy with a history of injuries who Alderson really didn't want to keep. I don't see why they'd cap Wright at the same number.


Signing players is a zero sum game. Either you sign them or you don't. That's all that matters in terms of the product on the field.

The Mets haven't signed a contract worth more than $10 million a year since the 2008-09 offseason. I think it's fair for fans to take a "show me" attitude.

_________________
"You come to play the game right. I don’t care what the situation is, I don’t care what the standings say, I don’t care about pitch counts. I only care about playing the game correctly."--Terry Collins

--------------------------------------------------------
You can PayPal donations to donations@nyfuturestars.com


Top
 Profile  
 
 Post subject: Re: Source: Mets 2013 payroll to look like 2012
PostPosted: Sun Aug 19, 2012 7:05 pm 
User avatar
Offline
Legend of NYFS

Joined: Thu Sep 21, 2006 6:36 pm
Posts: 24438
Location: Contemplating the meaning of life, and why god made me a Mets fan
TimBogar wrote:
Notice how no one has pointed out that in the article everyone is citing as their source for doomsday scenarios, it's stated that the Mets could extend both Wright and Dickey this offseason. Regardless of how anyone feels about one or either of those potential transactions, I'd feel far worse about the future of the franchise if the source said the Mets were intent on going into 2013 with both Wright and Dickey unsigned.

Last year, they dropped 50 million in payroll. This year (according to sources) it will be about the same as this year. So, no drop. If the Mets can have no drop (or maybe an increase) in 2013, why would they not be able to spend next offseason when both Santana and Bay are off the books?

The source in the article is also not someone in the Mets organization. So who's leaking this, and why?


If a statement that they "could" extend Wright and Dickey in the offseason is what passes for postivity then things are pretty sad. For one "could" is very vague....not exactly going out on much of a limb. And secondly pretty much everyone has been under the assumption that that could happen all along...so this article isn't exactly breaking any news in that regard. The "new" news in this article is the stuff about the payroll not expanding (though many people were probably predicting that too) so thats why there is the focus on that.

_________________
RIP uapeople (Paul), A great Mets fan and an even greater guy

Don't trade Wright!!


Top
 Profile  
 
 Post subject: Re: Source: Mets 2013 payroll to look like 2012
PostPosted: Sun Aug 19, 2012 7:28 pm 
User avatar
Offline
Legend of NYFS

Joined: Mon Sep 18, 2006 8:45 pm
Posts: 24629
Location: Now Leaving Schenectady
Metro2007 wrote:
Prospectus wrote:
Wait a minute, there are people who still think Niese **could** develop into a #3 starter. Now? Yes, I know the Pelfrey precedent shows not to jump the gun on saying 'ace' or 'rock solid, reliable, consistent starter', but Niese IS the #2 right now and could pass as #2 for a number of teams.

Gee is the guy you **hope** could continue to reach a ceiling of a mid-rotation starter. Many teams have one but it is not the worst thing in the world when there are younger starters with far higher ceilings to slowly work in.

And Dickey has had two previously good seasons before this one. The wins were not there but he was good on some pretty terrible baseball teams. If he 'regressed' to the 2010-2011 numbers, the run-support is the factor of whether or not he wins 16 or 12.

I agree with Tom, the pessimism is getting pretty annoying when the potential positives, like some player in the system becomes this year's Ruben Tejada for the 2013 season, are completely out of consideration.

I get that just being optimistic does not yield positive results with this club or life in general but jeez, this board has worn me out.


Again, I don't think it's really fair to say "pessimism" as if it's unfounded.

1) Most people accept Adam Rubin's news as pretty close to facts. "Nobody" seems to dispute him on his journalistic abilities. Maybe he's snarky on twitter but which stories has he reported on did he end up looking silly?

2) Burkhardt is closer to a homer then he is anything resembling a tough critic. He openly talks about his relationships with players (including David Wright) so when he says Wright better be signed in the off-season or he's a goner... it's his opinion but it carries more weight in my eyes than someone like Joel Sherman simply "guessing".

3) Alderson has openly said (and repeated) that payroll is tied to attendance..... well attendance is down and not up so a moderate increase/small decrease 100% seems in line with everything we have been told

4) The team has a few positives but limited "difference makers". David Wright is the one "great" player. Guys like Tejada and Murphy are nice, solid players but are not of the special variety. They are players you want while they are cheap and replace them when they are expensive. Niese is very good, Gee looked very good before his issue and Dickey is very good. The bullpen is 99% trash. Parnell is a solid reliever but nothing special and doesn't look like he can handle closing. Edgin should be pretty solid but he's not the next Kimbrel. They have 0 OF signed for next year that realistically will be average or better in 2013. A team of 8 Ruben Tejada is a bad offensive team. This team is filled with 1 great, a handful of solid and a lot of really bad on the offensive end, good starting pitching, and a horrendous bullpen.

Kirk failed his first test. Most neutral observers pegged his upside as a platoon player to begin with so it's not as if it's a true shocker. His contact issues are well documented and his inability to hit lefties is a common theme as well.

Big Duda fan but let's be honest.... he graded as the worst defensive OF in baseball 2 years running and his bat is not "special" to the point where you can say "ok"

MDD has been absolutely awful at AAA and again neutral observers mostly put his upside as a very good 4th OF. None of these 3 were/are projected as good MLB regulars by most prognosticators. Anyone comfortable with a 2013 or 2014 OF of MDD/Kirk/Duda is really kidding themselves. So where are these OF coming from if the Mets have "10-15" to spend + replace the FA who are leaving? Remember... Cedeno, Hairston and Rauch outperformed what was expected... both FA both have to be signed or replaced, traded for Shoppach... he costs money if you want to keep him etc.

Edit- If articles/tweets/stories come out from reputable sources stating the Mets will increase payroll significantly or have X plan in place to improve those will be commented on as well. I realize it takes the wind out of peoples sails to read negative stories but these are what they are. Until proven otherwise the Mets are in the midst of a nightmare stretch.

**Sighs**

First off, I never said fan pessimism was unfounded. In general, I follow the late David Rakoff's rule of being a defensive pessimist myself. But there are certain things where I probably hold my punches on. Sports is one of them and I have learned over time to try and not to lose my mind over it. Not saying to just hide my head in the sand or even try to tell people to have some fun, but I am just pointing to areas where I do not really see reason for pessimism, which is far and few between with this team, I know, but is still present. I just find the level of pessimism pretty overwhelming to morosely insufferable, however, not unfounded.

Second of all, I never questioned the veracity of Burkhardt's reporting much less whatever news has come from the posts on Dickey or Wright about payroll, in any of my post. Others might have, but when you are enumerating your points after quoting something I wrote, then I assume that was meant for me. If not, then I would just agree and it is pretty damming that Burkhardt made that curt assessment.

Thirdly, I have mentioned before that I not only dispute that our attendance numbers are at the same level but also attendance has been completely devoid of passion in the times I went to CitiField. CitiField has practically become a layover spot for just 'baseball fans' than a place for Mets fans and I selfishly would prefer to not share our lovely ballpark in addition to watching a better product. It is like saying a neighborhood that was a ghost town in the recession now has inhabitants when in reality they are squatters who do not bother to take care of the homes. Just because the seats are filled in those spots does not mean it is the same person who came for over the last fifteen years rain or shine.

Fourthly, I never said that. I never said there was a difference maker in the system in terms of position players and I am not delusional to say a Jon Niese or a Tejada are those roles. I am not even going to jump the gun and say that about Harvey or Wheeler who probably NEED to be. I was disputing how there could not more Tejadas in the system or that Jon Niese was working toward being a #3 starter when his numbers from even last year showed him already being that and perhaps more. I never said I wanted a team of Tejadas, I said there could be a player who is a pleasant surprise a la Tejada this year- not in terms of duplicating production. I never said the outfield was NOT a mess, and it really is not good when three different outfielders closest to the majors or have seen the big leagues are doing very little for themselves unlike say, Tejada who at least did something to distinguish himself before replacing Reyes.

So now I am just not sure if this was directed at me, because I agree with you on most things that you mentioned. I am not going to say, we need a Mets Yearbook for 2012 edited in such a way that will be all sunshine and optimism. There are many problems with this team and I am not even so much agonizing about Dickey or Wright but who is catching, who is in any of the three outfield spots, what could possibly be placed in a minor league system to step in immediately if need be because I am not so sure about Duda/MDD/Kirk, our bullpen, the possibility of Jason Bay unbelievably playing out his contract, and who is catching (I am repeating myself because it is that questionable). I really hate that there is now a restrictive number unofficially capping any moves to be made because I feel what could be seen as positive aspects to this team would have less pressure placed on them otherwise. There are far likelier to be a Lucas Duda in our situation if there are little moves made than the Tejada example.


Top
 Profile  
 
 Post subject: Re: Source: Mets 2013 payroll to look like 2012
PostPosted: Sun Aug 19, 2012 7:30 pm 
Offline
MVP

Joined: Sun Feb 17, 2008 2:09 am
Posts: 2703
Location: Mets fan since 1973
Chico wrote:

Signing players is a zero sum game. Either you sign them or you don't. That's all that matters in terms of the product on the field.

The Mets haven't signed a contract worth more than $10 million a year since the 2008-09 offseason. I think it's fair for fans to take a "show me" attitude.


I agree with you, but just to play devils advocate - who in this free agent class do you think the Mets should spend 10 million a year on?

I think half the problem is that this free agent class isn't that interesting. Hamilton (yeah right), Greinke (will be overpaid) and after that - who? Nick Swisher? Shane Victorino? Michael Bourn (I somehow don't see the braves letting him go, but I've been wrong before). A lot of people didn't like the Jason Bay signing for 4 years 68 or whatever it was, if that Jason Bay was in this year's free agent class, he'd get a lot more than 4 years 68 and he'd be all ouf our #1 target. . . .

You gotta respect the free agent dilemma, which can be summed up like this. 8 maybe 9 times out of 10, when teams pay big money, they don't get their money's worth.

So I have a hard time killing the mets if they don't sign that 10 million dollar player this off season. On the one hand, I want an outfield bat, on the other hand, I'm not sure the guys out there are worth signing at free agent price-tags.

_________________
add Choo
God bless you.


Top
 Profile  
 
 Post subject: Re: Source: Mets 2013 payroll to look like 2012
PostPosted: Sun Aug 19, 2012 8:03 pm 
User avatar
Offline
NYFS Staff

Joined: Tue Sep 19, 2006 6:37 am
Posts: 16843
Location: charleston, sc
There are not a lot of guys in the $7 to $10m range this winter I'd want...my problem is that there might be some trades to be made that might increase payroll as well.

_________________
"The most potent weapon of the oppressor is the mind of the oppressed." Steven Biko


Top
 Profile  
 
 Post subject: Re: Source: Mets 2013 payroll to look like 2012
PostPosted: Sun Aug 19, 2012 8:13 pm 
Offline
Blue Chipper

Joined: Thu Apr 01, 2010 10:19 pm
Posts: 391
Any Met fan that thought the Mets were going to spend big money on a FA this offseason is kidding themselves. The Mets are not going to spend until Santana and Bay are off the books. Those 2 players are going to be on the hook for almost 50 mil in 2013. The only way the Mets are going to improve in the offseason is thru trade.


Top
 Profile E-mail  
 
Display posts from previous:  Sort by  
Post new topic Reply to topic  [ 85 posts ]  Go to page Previous  1, 2, 3, 4, 5, 6, 7, 8  Next

All times are UTC - 5 hours [ DST ]


NYFSers Currently Online

Users browsing this forum: bygranddesign, Exabot [Bot], famousdaproduct, IlikeIKE, Majestic-12 [Bot], MarkJohnson>You, maxlongstreet, Metal, metdawg, Metro2007, Mets Fan In ATL, Mogriffjr, nymets945, plash ricrem, Spiral and 61 guests


You cannot post new topics in this forum
You cannot reply to topics in this forum
You cannot edit your posts in this forum
You cannot delete your posts in this forum
You cannot post attachments in this forum

Search for:
Jump to:  
Powered by phpBB © 2000, 2002, 2005, 2007 phpBB Group
NY METS FAN RESOURCES
METS VIA TWITTER
STUFF FOR METS FANS
powered by Untraditional Media: treasure coast web site design, website development, hosting, internet marketing, content management systems, internet services
The St. Lucie Times: News, Politics, Arts, Events, Business, and Sports - The Online Local Paper For The Treasure Coast of Florida