Baseball America has released it’s annual Mets Top prospects list with Jenrry Mejia coming in in the coveted Number 1 slot.
Here’s the list of the top 10, as well as the link to the full story at BA:
1. Jenrry Mejia, rhp
2. Wilmer Flores, ss
3. Cesar Puello, of
4. Matt Harvey, rhp
5. Kirk Nieuwenhuis, of
6. Reese Havens, 2b
7. Lucas Duda, of/1b
8. Fernando Martinez, of
9. Aderlin Rodriguez, 3b
10. Brad Holt, rhp
Though prospect lists are notoriously more mechanisms for creating debate than reflective of probability/outcome, Mejia is as close as you could come to being a consensus number 1, and there’s no arguing with Wilmer Flores as the next hottest property. Flores put up an impressive .300/.324/.415 at Hi A in St. Lucie this year at age 18, so until he has a more pedestrian season, it’s hard to argue with any excitement and platitudes he generates.
After that it gets a little bit dicey. Puello put up a very nice year in Savannah (.292/.375/.359) but has yet to show any pop, despite getting on base at an impressive clip and stealing 45 bases once there. Matt Harvey has yet to actually throw a pitch and – as Brad Holt can attest – just being a high draft pick is no guarantee of performance once you actually start throwing in pro ball.
That said, Brad Holt is still riding his draft slot to being number 10, despite having a very disappointing 2010. In fact, nearly half of the BA List either hasn’t player (i.e. Harvey) or was disappointing/injured for the bulk of 2010. Fernando Martinez, Reese Havens, Harvey and Holt, and even Mejia to a degree had difficult seasons.
If you’re going to include players who have had ML experience (F-Mart, Mejia, Duda) guys like Dillon Gee and Nick Evans are probably more likely to contribute and be somewhat successful at the ML level anytime in the foreseeable future than half the guys on BA’s list.